We’re devoting the first half of our show to a single number — 2024.  That’s the year that we’re expected (sidenote: expected) to be finally out of Afghanistan.  The details of the deal will be hammered out later this month at a NATO meeting in Chicago.  We’ll talk about the military side of the deal with  Lt. Col. Anthony Shaffer of the Center for Advanced Defense Studies and Col. Jack Jacobs, msnbc Military Analyst.  Our Wednesday Megapanel of Imogen Lloyd Webber,  Jonathan Capehart, and Rob Cox will be here to discuss the political implications of this news as well.

The Specialist: More than a hundred doctors, nurses and other health care professionals were arrested for health care fraud in a major sting operation that took place in seven cities across the country.  We’ll talk about it with our specialist, who until very recently was the government’s top Medicare and Medicaid administrator.  Don Berwick, is Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress.  Was this $450 million in phony billing just the tip of the iceberg?

The Benefits of Social Experimentation: Here’s one thing we know for sure about experiments: you can’t always predict the outcome.  Our guest, author Jim Manzi, has spent his career teaching the benefits of social experimentation.  In his new book Uncontrolled:  The Surprising Payoff of Trial-and-Error for Business, Politics, and Society, Manzi says we need to use experimentation at the corporate and government level to bring real change to longstanding political and social problems, especially when it comes to creating innovation in the U.S.

And to wrap things up, Tim Carney will be here with the Daily Rant —